Using the Features of the Presidential Election Cycle to Identify the Dominant Trend in Global Stock Markets
Title
Using the Features of the Presidential Election Cycle to Identify the Dominant Trend in Global Stock Markets
Author
Tetiana Pelina
Student, Oles Honchar Dnipro National University, Dnipro, Ukraine
Email: pelina.tetiana@gmail.com
Author
Oleksii Dzhusov
Doctor of Economics, Professor of International Management Department, Oles Honchar Dnipro National University, Dnipro, Ukraine
Email: ukrcredit@yahoo.com
Review Status
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This article has been evaluated and accepted through a formal single-blind peer-review process.
Journal / Publisher Details
Journal: International Journal of Psychology and Strategic Communication
Volume: 02, Issue 01 (2026)
DOI: https://doi.org/10.61030/AXJA6245
Abstract
The article is devoted to the study of the socio-political cyclical pattern “Presidential Election Cycle” in economics and its practical application for forecasting the dynamics of stock markets. The methodology is based on a statistical analysis of the US stock market, which is a key component of the global financial market. The study used statistical data on the value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average from 1897 to 2025. Characteristic patterns that determine the behavior of the stock market in different phases of the “Presidential Election Cycle” in modern economic conditions were identified. It was found that within this cycle, only the pre-election year is of practical interest, in which the average increase in the Dow Jones Industrial Average is 2–4 times higher than the increase in other years of the cycle. It was established that the thesis about the higher dynamics of the stock market during the rule of the Democratic Party is confirmed in modern conditions.
Keywords
Presidential election cycle, stock market, prevailing trend, Dow Jones Industrial Average, forecasting.
How to Cite This Article
Pelina, T., & Dzhusov, O. (2026). Using the Features of the Presidential Election Cycle to Identify the Dominant Trend in Global Stock Markets. International Journal of Psychology and Strategic Communication, 2(1).
https://doi.org/10.61030/AXJA6245
Full Article (PDF)
https://ijpsc.org/journal/v02_i01/AXJA6245.pdf
Metadata and Info
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.61030/AXJA6245
- Publication Year: 2026
- License: CC BY 4.0 (if applicable) – https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
- Published by: International Journal of Psychology and Strategic Communication
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Using the Features of the Presidential Election Cycle to Identify the Dominant Trend in Global Stock Markets
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Cite this article
Tetiana Pelina (2026). Using the Features of the Presidential Election Cycle to Identify the Dominant Trend in Global Stock Markets. International Journal of Psychology and Strategic Communication, 2(1). https://doi.org/10.61030/AXJA6245
Tetiana Pelina (2026) 'Using the Features of the Presidential Election Cycle to Identify the Dominant Trend in Global Stock Markets', International Journal of Psychology and Strategic Communication, 2(1). Available at: https://doi.org/10.61030/AXJA6245
Tetiana Pelina. "Using the Features of the Presidential Election Cycle to Identify the Dominant Trend in Global Stock Markets." International Journal of Psychology and Strategic Communication 2(1) (2026). https://doi.org/10.61030/AXJA6245
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author = {Tetiana Pelina},
journal = {International Journal of Psychology and Strategic Communication},
year = {2026},
volume = {2},
number = {1},
doi = {10.61030/AXJA6245},
url = {https://doi.org/10.61030/AXJA6245},
issn = {2941-5691}
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AU - Tetiana Pelina
TI - Using the Features of the Presidential Election Cycle to Identify the Dominant Trend in Global Stock Markets
JO - International Journal of Psychology and Strategic Communication
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DO - 10.61030/AXJA6245
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